OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns
OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns
0
The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has issued a warning about a potential slowdown in Australia's economic growth over the next two years.
This prediction comes against the backdrop of heightened global uncertainty, spurred by trade policies introduced by US President Donald Trump.
The OECD projects Australia’s GDP to rise to 1.9% in 2025 but slip slightly to 1.8% in 2026, falling short of earlier expectations laid out in their December report.
Global economic growth is similarly anticipated to decelerate. OECD forecasts a reduction in growth from 3.2% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2026, attributing this trend to increased trade barriers among major economies and broader geopolitical tensions. The report specifically highlights that continued changes in trade policies, if maintained, could dampen global growth prospects and heighten inflationary pressures.
The potential slowdown has significant implications for both consumers and businesses within Australia. If growth rates dwindle, this could affect employment, wages, and investment levels across the country. Additionally, as higher trade barriers threaten global trade volumes, Australian exporters may face shrinking markets abroad, potentially putting additional pressure on domestic economic growth.
The report indicates that inflation, while expected to moderate gradually, could still surpass targets set by central banks, including the Reserve Bank of Australia. This poses a challenge for policymakers aiming to balance growth with inflation control. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized the need to be vigilant against any resurgence of inflationary pressures in Australia.
: Experts suggest keeping a close eye on international trade developments, particularly the bilateral tariffs between major economies such as the US, Canada, and Mexico. If these tariffs were to be rolled back or applied more narrowly, it could lead to a more favourable growth and inflation outlook globally and in Australia.
The Reserve Bank of Australia has room to manoeuvre, given the current trajectory of moderating inflation. There’s potential for further interest rate reductions, which could stimulate domestic consumption and investment. Nevertheless, the caution remains as trade policy uncertainties continue to cast a long shadow over Australia’s economic future.
As policymakers navigate these challenging waters, strategic economic management will be crucial in cushioning Australia from external shocks and ensuring a steady growth trajectory amid a complex global landscape.
Published:Tuesday, 18th Mar 2025 Source: Paige Estritori
Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.
In a remarkable demonstration of Australia's thriving asset finance sector, Loan Market Group's Asset Finance Exchange (AFX) has reported approximately $80 million in settlements within its inaugural year. This achievement underscores the platform's effectiveness in connecting brokers and asset finance specialists, thereby streamlining the financing process for clients. - read more
Australian Motorcycle & Marine Finance (AMMF) has joined the Australian Finance Group (AFG) panel, marking a significant expansion in asset finance options available to Australian brokers and their clients. This partnership is set to provide more tailored financing solutions for individuals interested in acquiring motorcycles, marine products, and related accessories. - read more
Loan Market Group's Asset Finance Exchange (AFX) has achieved a significant milestone, reporting approximately $80 million in settlements within its inaugural year. This accomplishment underscores the platform's effectiveness in connecting brokers and asset finance specialists, thereby streamlining the financing process for clients. - read more
Welcome, Australian entrepreneurs and business owners! Whether you're just setting down the foundation of a startup or steering a well-established enterprise, access to capital remains a critical ingredient for business growth and survival. In the bustling economy of Australia, a well-structured business loan can be the catalyst that propels your business forward, aiding in expansion, the acquisition of new equipment, or simply ensuring smooth operational cash flow during lean periods. - read more
Starting and running a business in Australia can be an exhilarating experience, full of opportunities for growth and success. However, it also comes with its fair share of risks and uncertainties. From unexpected natural disasters to potential legal disputes, the threats to the sustainability of a business are ever-present. This is where business insurance becomes pivotal as a protective tool for Australian enterprises. It provides the much-needed safety net to help businesses mitigate potential losses and continue operations with confidence. - read more
Embarking on the journey to homeownership is both exciting and daunting. It's a significant milestone that requires careful planning and disciplined saving. For many Australians, buying a first home represents a dream come true, and it's essential to approach it strategically. - read more
Knowledgebase
Default: The failure to repay a debt, including interest or principal, on a loan or security.
