Aussies Persevere in Housing Market Despite Economic Squeeze
Aussies Persevere in Housing Market Despite Economic Squeeze
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In the face of rising living costs and consecutive rate hikes by Australia's Reserve Bank, the country's housing market is displaying unexpected vitality.
The latest data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showcases a surprising uptick in new home loan commitments during February.
Though financial experts predicted a 2 percent rise, the actual figures present a 1.5 percent increase to $26.4bn, suggestive of the market's resilience amidst economic challenges. This constant activity is happening as Australia witnesses a surge in migration, amplifying demand alongside a modest output in housing construction, which stifles supply lines.
Driven predominantly by the owner-occupier sector, the landscapes of home financing continue to evolve. The seasonally adjusted statistics indicate that owner-occupiers propelled the hike in new loans, registering a 1.6 percent month-on-month increase and a notable 9.1 percent annual escalation.
The perseverance of Australian households is mirrored by the numbers of newcomer buyers, with fresh loan commitments to this segment ticking up 4.3 percent in the month and a remarkable 13.2 percent annually. The total reached for first-time borrowers was 9,377 for the month following an impressive climb from January.
Investment-minded property seekers signal a similar defiance to rising costs, with their component of the loan values expanding by 1.2 percent and their year-on-year assessment a remarkable 21.5 percent. As per Mish Tan of the ABS, this group significantly swells the growth in total new loan commitments over the past twelve months.
Rate increases by the Reserve Bank starting May 2022 have substantially constrained borrowing capabilities. For instance, a typical family with dual income and children earning $150,000 has observed their borrowing potential sharply reduce by approximately 32.8 percent, coupled with average mortgage expenses climbing by more than $1500.
The official cash rate currently stands at 4.35 percent since the November adjustment, and inflation hovers at 4.1 percent, surpassing the RBA's goal range of 2-3 percent, thus hinting at a testing period for the market ahead.
Recent analyses indicate that Australian home prices are expected to rise by approximately 6.9% in 2026, an upward revision from earlier projections of 5.6%. This forecast is based on a Reuters poll of 15 property analysts conducted between November 13 and 26, 2025. The anticipated increase is primarily attributed to a combination of limited housing supply and sustained demand, particularly in major cities such as Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, and Perth. - read more
In its November 2025 meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to keep the official cash rate unchanged at 3.60%. This decision reflects the central bank's cautious approach in balancing inflation control with economic stability. - read more
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a significant policy change aimed at mitigating risks in the housing market. Effective February 2026, APRA will implement a cap restricting banks from issuing more than 20% of new home loans to borrowers with debt-to-income (DTI) ratios of six times or higher. This measure applies to both owner-occupier and investor loans, excluding new housing developments. - read more
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Knowledgebase
Truth in Lending Act (TILA): A federal law designed to promote the informed use of consumer credit by requiring disclosures about terms and costs.
