The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
Borrowers expecting a reduction in interest rates due to sluggish economic growth might have to wait longer, as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) prioritizes inflation management.
Though the economy is experiencing a downturn, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasizes that the demand for goods and services still outstrips supply capabilities.
"It's understandable that people think a slower economy should lead to rate cuts, but we need tangible inflation improvement before making such a move," Bullock stated during her speech on Thursday.
This comes in the wake of a modest 0.2% economic growth in the June quarter, with an annual increase holding at 1%, marking the lowest since the 1991 recession outside the pandemic period.
The slowdown was anticipated as a consequence of maintained high-interest rates aimed at dampening demand to curb inflation.
Despite slowing growth, Bullock pointed out that demand remains high partly because post-pandemic resurgence has sustained some strength in the economy.
She also mentioned the ongoing underperformance on the supply side, particularly in productivity growth.
"It's a matter of growth rates versus levels," she explained at the Anika Foundation Fundraising Lunch, indicating that inflation persists due to demand remaining higher than supply capabilities.
This protracted wait for interest rate cuts is challenging for the federal government, which faces scrutiny over its budgetary decisions and their impact on inflation.
Bullock acknowledged that both federal and state governments are wrestling with inflation as it directly affects their regions' residents.
When asked if Treasurer Jim Chalmers was shifting blame to the RBA, Bullock refrained from commenting directly but clarified both were committed to their roles.
The opposition has leveraged the national accounts to criticize the government, with Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor suggesting a conflict between government spending and RBA's inflation control measures.
In defense, Finance Minister Katy Gallagher highlighted that the government's expenditure was strategically targeted to support the economy without exacerbating inflation;
"Had the government not provided necessary aid during this period, the economic figures would have been worse," Gallagher told ABC TV on Thursday.
Bullock further dedicated significant portions of her speech to the hazards posed by stubborn high inflation.
She cautioned that although inflation expectations are stable, this stability is not guaranteed. A scenario of expected consistent price rises could necessitate further interest rate hikes.
"In that case, we would need to throttle the economy more, leading to higher unemployment and potential recession," she warned.
Prolonged inflation risks pushing more borrowers, particularly those with lower incomes, into mortgage stress and potentially forcing home sales.
"High inflation is why there is so much cost of living discussion - it adversely affects everyone, especially the most vulnerable,” Bullock concluded.
In a landmark decision, Australia has awarded a AU$10 billion (US$6.5 billion) contract to Japan's Mitsubishi Heavy Industries for the construction of 11 Mogami-class frigates. This agreement signifies the most substantial defense industry collaboration between the two nations to date. - read more
Global insurance broker Marsh has been appointed by the Australian government to oversee the insurance and risk advisory components of the Royal Australian Navy's Maritime Insurance Program (MIP). This program is integral to the nation's extensive naval fleet expansion and infrastructure development initiatives. - read more
In response to recent shifts in global trade dynamics, GT Insurance is reaffirming its commitment to supporting Australian marine clients navigating these challenges. The imposition of US tariffs-25% on Australian steel and aluminium, and 10% on other exported goods-has introduced new uncertainties for local exporters, particularly in sectors like beef and bulk freight. These tariffs, effective from April 5, 2025, have prompted concerns about declining export volumes and reduced freight margins. - read more
Creating a sturdy financial foundation is essential for Australians navigating the often turbulent waters of debt. A bulletproof budget does more than just track expenses; it acts as a buffer against unexpected financial downturns and provides a clear path toward financial freedom. Comprehending the full weight of this importance is the first step to turning one's financial destiny around. - read more
Personal loans are a type of unsecured credit that allows individuals to borrow money for various personal expenses, including consolidating debt, making home improvements, or funding significant life events. Unlike secured loans that require collateral, personal loans rely on your creditworthiness, making them an accessible option for many Australians. - read more
Caravans have surged in popularity across Australia, offering an unmatched fusion of comfort and mobility. This beloved mode of travel grants you the liberty to discover hidden gems off the beaten path while bringing along the comforts of home. With the rise of remote work and the enduring spirit of wanderlust, caravans provide a flexible lifestyle choice for adventurers, retirees, and families alike. - read more
Knowledgebase
Underwater Mortgage: A mortgage in which the balance owed on the loan is greater than the value of the property securing the loan.
