The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
Borrowers expecting a reduction in interest rates due to sluggish economic growth might have to wait longer, as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) prioritizes inflation management.
Though the economy is experiencing a downturn, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasizes that the demand for goods and services still outstrips supply capabilities.
"It's understandable that people think a slower economy should lead to rate cuts, but we need tangible inflation improvement before making such a move," Bullock stated during her speech on Thursday.
This comes in the wake of a modest 0.2% economic growth in the June quarter, with an annual increase holding at 1%, marking the lowest since the 1991 recession outside the pandemic period.
The slowdown was anticipated as a consequence of maintained high-interest rates aimed at dampening demand to curb inflation.
Despite slowing growth, Bullock pointed out that demand remains high partly because post-pandemic resurgence has sustained some strength in the economy.
She also mentioned the ongoing underperformance on the supply side, particularly in productivity growth.
"It's a matter of growth rates versus levels," she explained at the Anika Foundation Fundraising Lunch, indicating that inflation persists due to demand remaining higher than supply capabilities.
This protracted wait for interest rate cuts is challenging for the federal government, which faces scrutiny over its budgetary decisions and their impact on inflation.
Bullock acknowledged that both federal and state governments are wrestling with inflation as it directly affects their regions' residents.
When asked if Treasurer Jim Chalmers was shifting blame to the RBA, Bullock refrained from commenting directly but clarified both were committed to their roles.
The opposition has leveraged the national accounts to criticize the government, with Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor suggesting a conflict between government spending and RBA's inflation control measures.
In defense, Finance Minister Katy Gallagher highlighted that the government's expenditure was strategically targeted to support the economy without exacerbating inflation;
"Had the government not provided necessary aid during this period, the economic figures would have been worse," Gallagher told ABC TV on Thursday.
Bullock further dedicated significant portions of her speech to the hazards posed by stubborn high inflation.
She cautioned that although inflation expectations are stable, this stability is not guaranteed. A scenario of expected consistent price rises could necessitate further interest rate hikes.
"In that case, we would need to throttle the economy more, leading to higher unemployment and potential recession," she warned.
Prolonged inflation risks pushing more borrowers, particularly those with lower incomes, into mortgage stress and potentially forcing home sales.
"High inflation is why there is so much cost of living discussion — it adversely affects everyone, especially the most vulnerable,†Bullock concluded.
Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.
Recent moves by Australian lenders to reduce selected fixed home loan rates have added a fresh layer to the borrowing conversation. After a long period in which households and small business owners have been focused on higher repayments, even modest fixed-rate reductions can attract attention. The key point, however, is that a lower advertised rate is not automatically the best outcome for every borrower. - read more
Australia’s buy now, pay later sector is moving further into the regulated credit environment, changing the way providers assess customers and the way borrowers should think about short-term repayments. For many households and small business owners, the key point is simple: a small instalment product can still affect cash flow, credit behaviour and future borrowing choices. - read more
Australia’s latest inflation signals have put renewed pressure on hopes for near-term interest rate relief, creating another important checkpoint for households, sole traders and small to medium-sized business owners. While inflation is no longer running at the peaks seen earlier in the cycle, the latest data suggests price growth remains uneven across essential categories, keeping the Reserve Bank of Australia cautious about declaring the job done. - read more
Australia, with its expansive coastline and spectacular waterways, naturally cultivates a rich culture of marine enthusiasts. Imagine the salty breeze on your face as you slice through waves, the call of seabirds overhead, and the freedom to explore hidden coves and beaches – this is the quintessential Australian boating lifestyle. - read more
A finance eligibility assessment can help Australian borrowers understand what lenders may review before a personal or business loan application, including income, expenses, credit history, debts, assets and serviceability. - read more
Australian borrowers have protections before and after taking out credit, including responsible lending obligations for many consumer loans, hardship options, disclosure requirements and complaints pathways. This guide explains the key concepts in general terms for consumers and small business owners. - read more
Knowledgebase
Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM) Cap: A limit on how much the interest rate or the payment can change for an Adjustable-Rate Mortgage.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts.